Dissertationsprojekt

Thawing Arctic, freezing relations? The Impact of the Ukraine War on Energy Dynamics between Japan and Russia with Regional Dialogue via the Northern Sea Route

Abstract: This research delves into Japan's strategic interests in the Arctic, with a particular focus on its collaboration with Russia, exploring the impact of the Ukraine war on Arctic energy cooperation, especially in the Northern Sea Route. The study navigates the intricate dynamics of the Russian-Japanese relationship, emphasizing historical tensions and geopolitical complexities. Using a 1+3 framework, it scrutinizes the roles of Japan, Russia, China, and South Korea in shaping the Arctic landscape. The research, adopting a regional focus on areas adjacent to the Russian coast, investigates the transformative effects of the war on energy collaboration and identifies potential avenues for sustained dialogue beyond the Arctic Council. The primary research question explores how the war in Ukraine has affected energy cooperation in the Arctic, with an adhered hypothesis suggesting a transformative impact despite temporary disruptions. The dissertation uses a dual-methodology approach, employing discourse analysis and International Relations frameworks to examine Japan and Russia's strategic interests in the Arctic, especially in the Northern Sea Route. Empirical evidence is drawn from statements, articles, and expert interviews with Japanese and Russian inter alia policymakers and industry experts, redirecting the narrative from pessimistic views of Northeast Asian regionalism to spotlight a more dynamic contemporary reality.

Keywords: Japan; Russia; Energy Cooperation; Arctic; Northeast Asian Countries; Northern Sea Route; Arctic Council